51 lines
1.9 KiB
Markdown
51 lines
1.9 KiB
Markdown
# High Volume Days
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The idea for these strategies comes from chapter 6 (Volume) of [*How Markets Really Work*](https://moshferatu.dev/moshferatu/how-markets-really-work) (2012) by Larry Connors.
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As with most of the strategies from this book, they are meant to illustrate certain characteristics of the market rather than be traded directly.
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Unlike the book, where no significant difference was found between high volume up and down days, I have found down days to significantly outperform up days.
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Refer to the backtest results below.
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## Rules
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### High Volume Up Days
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1. The asset (e.g., SPY) is above its 200-day moving average.
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2. The volume closes at a 5-day high.
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3. If the asset closes **higher** on the day, enter a long trade.
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4. Exit the trade after 5 trading days (~1 week).
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### High Volume Down Days
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1. The asset (e.g., SPY) is above its 200-day moving average.
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2. The volume closes at a 5-day high.
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3. If the asset closes **lower** on the day, enter a long trade.
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4. Exit the trade after 5 trading days (~1 week).
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## Parameters
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**High Volume Period**: The period over which to determine the highest volume. (Default: 5)
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**Long-Term Trend Period**: The period of the long-term trend as measured using a simple moving average. (Default: 200)
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**Days to Exit**: The number of days to wait before exiting a trade. (Default: 5)
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## Backtest Results
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### SPY
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#### High Volume Up Days
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![SPY High Volume Up Days Analysis](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/high-volume-days/spy-up-analysis.png)
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![SPY High Volume Up Days Summary](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/high-volume-days/spy-up-summary.png)
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#### High Volume Down Days
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![SPY High Volume Down Days Analysis](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/high-volume-days/spy-down-analysis.png)
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![SPY High Volume Down Days Summary](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/high-volume-days/spy-down-summary.png)
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