ninjatrader/strategies/3-day-high-low/README.md

3.0 KiB

3-Day High / Low Bot

This strategy was taken from chapter 2 of High Probability ETF Trading (2009) by Larry Connors.

Rules

Long Trades

  1. The ETF (e.g., SPY) is above its 200-day moving average.
  2. The ETF closes below its 5-day moving average.
  3. The ETF must make a lower high and lower low for 3 consecutive days.
  4. Enter a long if the above conditions are met.
  5. Aggressive Version (optional): Enter a second long if price closes lower than the initial entry at any point during the trade.
  6. Exit when the ETF closes above its 5-day moving average.

Short Trades

The inverse of the long trade rules, but stated explicitly:

  1. The ETF (e.g., SPY) is below its 200-day moving average.
  2. The ETF closes above its 5-day moving average.
  3. The ETF must make a higher high and higher low for 3 consecutive days.
  4. Enter a short if the above conditions are met.
  5. Aggressive Version (optional): Enter a second short if price closes higher than the initial entry at any point during the trade.
  6. Exit when the ETF closes below its 5-day moving average.

NOTE: The strategy will work on any asset, not just ETFs.

Parameters

Consecutive Days: The number of days in a row in which higher highs / lows or lower highs / lows must be made. (Default: 3)

Long-Term Trend Period: The period to use in the long-term trend calculation as measured using a simple moving average. (Default: 200)

Short-Term Trend Period: The period to use in the short-term trend calculation as measured using a simple moving average. (Default: 5)

Enable Long Trades: Whether to allow going long in the strategy. (Default: true)

Enable Short Trades: Whether to allow going short in the strategy. (Default: true)

Enable Aggressive Entries: Whether to allow for entering a second trade when price initially moves against the first. (Default: true)

Backtest Results

SPY

SPY Analysis

SPY Summary

QQQ

QQQ Analysis

QQQ Summary

DIA

DIA Analysis

DIA Summary

IWM

IWM Analysis

IWM Summary

Sector ETFs

This backtest is an aggregation of the results of the following sector ETFs:

XLB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY

Sector ETFs