42 lines
1.6 KiB
Markdown
42 lines
1.6 KiB
Markdown
# Connors VIX Reversal 1
|
|
|
|
This strategy was taken from chapter 2 of [*Connors on Advanced Trading Strategies*](https://moshferatu.dev/moshferatu/connors-on-advanced-trading-strategies) (1998).
|
|
|
|
It is the first of the [Connors VIX Reversals](https://moshferatu.dev/moshferatu/ninjatrader/src/branch/main/strategies/connors-vix-reversals) presented in the book.
|
|
|
|
## Rules
|
|
|
|
1. VIX must make a 15-day high.
|
|
2. The asset (e.g., SPY) must be above its 200-day moving average.
|
|
3. If the close of VIX is below the open, enter a long trade.
|
|
4. Exit the trade 3 days later.
|
|
|
|
Rule #2 was added by me after I found it resulted in improved backtest results.
|
|
|
|
The book also includes rules for going short (just invert the long trade rules), but the results of the backtests were consistently negative.
|
|
|
|
Therefore, I chose not to implement short trades in the strategies.
|
|
|
|
## Parameters
|
|
|
|
**Short-Term High Period**: The number of days to consider when determining the highest value of VIX. (Default: 15)
|
|
|
|
**Long-Term Trend Period**: The period of the long-term trend as measured using a simple moving average. (Default: 200)
|
|
|
|
**Days to Exit**: The number of days to wait before exiting any open trades. (Default: 3)
|
|
|
|
## Backtest Results
|
|
|
|
### SPY
|
|
|
|
![SPY Analysis](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/connors-vix-reversal-1/spy-analysis.png)
|
|
|
|
![SPY Summary](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/connors-vix-reversal-1/spy-summary.png)
|
|
|
|
### QQQ
|
|
|
|
![QQQ Analysis](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/connors-vix-reversal-1/qqq-analysis.png)
|
|
|
|
![QQQ Summary](https://static.moshington.com/images/strategies/connors-vix-reversal-1/qqq-summary.png)
|
|
|
|
--- |