ninjatrader/strategies/tps/README.md

3.5 KiB

TPS

This strategy was taken from chapter 8 of High Probability ETF Trading (2009) and Buy the Fear, Sell the Greed (2018) by Larry Connors.

TPS stands for:

  • Time
  • Price
  • Scale-in

Rules

Long

  1. The ETF (e.g., SPY) is above its 200-day moving average.
  2. If the 2-period RSI is below 25 for 2 days in a row, enter a long trade with 10% of the total position size.
  3. If price closes lower than the initial entry price any day while in the position, enter another long trade with 20% of the total position size.
  4. If price again closes lower than the latest entry price, enter another long with 30% more of the total position size.
  5. If price yet again closes lower than the latest entry price, enter a final long with the remaining 40% of the total position size.
  6. Exit the trade(s) when the 2-period RSI closes above 70.

Short

  1. The ETF (e.g., SPY) is below its 200-day moving average.
  2. If the 2-period RSI is above 75 for 2 days in a row, enter a short trade with 10% of the total position size.
  3. If price closes higher than the initial entry price any day while in the position, enter another short trade with 20% of the total position size.
  4. If price again closes higher than the latest entry price, enter another short with 30% more of the total position size.
  5. If price yet again closes higher than the latest entry price, enter a final short with the remaining 40% of the total position size.
  6. Exit the trade(s) when the 2-period RSI closes below 30.

Parameters

Long-Term Trend Period: The period of the long-term trend as measured using a simple moving average. (Default: 200)

RSI Period: The period used in the RSI calculation. (Default: 2)

RSI Smoothing: The smoothing used in the RSI calculation. (Default: 1, no smoothing)

Enable Long Trades: Whether to enable taking long trades. (Default: true)

Long RSI Entry: The RSI value below which to begin entering long trades. (Default: 25)

Long RSI Exit: The RSI value above which to exit any long trades. (Default: 70)

Enable Short Trades: Whether to enable taking short trades. (Default: true)

Short RSI Entry: The RSI value above which to begin entering short trades. (Default: 75)

Short RSI Exit: The RSI value below which to exit any short trades. (Default: 30)

Total Position Size: The maximum position size assuming all trades have been entered. (Default: 10000)

Backtest Results

SPY

SPY Analysis

SPY Summary

QQQ

QQQ Analysis

QQQ Summary

DIA

DIA Analysis

DIA Summary

IWM

IWM Analysis

IWM Summary

Sector ETFs

This backtest is an aggregation of the results of the following sector ETFs:

XLB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY

Sector ETFs