3.1 KiB
R3
This strategy was taken from chapter 4 of High Probability ETF Trading (2009) by Larry Connors.
Rules
Long
- The ETF (e.g., SPY) is above its 200-day moving average.
- The 2-period RSI drops 3 days in a row and the first day's drop is < 60.
- If the 2-period RSI closes < 10, enter a long trade.
- (Optional Aggressive Version) Enter a second long if price closes lower than the initial entry price at any point during the first trade.
- Exit the trade when the 2-period RSI closes > 70.
Short
- The ETF (e.g., SPY) is below its 200-day moving average.
- The 2-period RSI rises 3 days in a row and the first day's rise is > 40.
- If the 2-period RSI closes > 90, enter a short trade.
- (Optional Aggressive Version) Enter a second short if price closes higher than the initial entry price at any point during the first trade.
- Exit the trade when the 2-period RSI closes < 30.
Parameters
Long-Term Trend Period: The period of the long-term trend as measured by a simple moving average. (Default: 200)
RSI Period: The period used in the RSI calculation. (Default: 2)
RSI Smoothing: The smoothing used in the RSI calculation. (Default: 1, no smoothing)
Consecutive Days: The number of days in a row that RSI must drop / rise. (Default: 3)
Enable Long Trades: Whether to enable taking long trades. (Default: true)
Long First Day RSI: The RSI value below which the first day's drop must be to enter a long trade. (Default: 60.0)
Long RSI Entry: The RSI value below which to enter a long trade. (Default: 10.0)
Long RSI Exit: The RSI value above which to exit any long trades. (Default: 70.0)
Enable Short Trades: Whether to enable taking short trades. (Default: true)
Short First Day RSI: The RSI value above which the first day's rise must be to enter a short trade. (Default: 40.0)
Short RSI Entry: The RSI value above which to enter a short trade. (Default: 90.0)
Short RSI Exit: The RSI value below which to exit any short trades. (Default: 30.0)
Enable Aggressive Entries: Whether to enable the optional aggressive trade entries. (Default: true)
Backtest Results
SPY
QQQ
DIA
IWM
Sector ETFs
This backtest is an aggregation of the results of the following sector ETFs:
XLB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY